How much should a roster change move a win total?
We’ve played out 200 full-league seasons. Cleveland and Phoenix are among the cases we’re examining, with rotation assumptions still to check.
Read the team cases ↗FOR THE LOVE OF THE GAME. AND THE QUESTIONS.
That roster move you keep thinking about. The player you think deserves more credit. The season line that makes you look twice. Let’s put some numbers behind it.
Original NBA analysis, interactive simulations, and a little healthy curiosity.
A season of possibilities.
MAKE YOURSELF AT HOME
Start with a question. We’ve made room for the stat nerd, the armchair GM, and the fan who just wants a closer look.
Search a player, explore season points, assists and rebounds, and compare the available market lines.
Find an insightSet up a matchup or take over a team for the season. Follow the results from the standings down to the box score.
Play out your ideaRead the case for a season market, the price we observed, and the reasons we might be wrong. Our shortlist is still research in progress.
Read the season watchlistA LITTLE DEEPER THAN THE BOX SCORE
Start with points, assists and rebounds. Our season scenarios put a projected average beside your question, with the assumptions out in the open.
SEASON SCENARIOS / PROJECTED POINTS PER GAME
Fixed-roster scenario projections.
ON OUR RADAR
We’ve played out 200 full-league seasons. Cleveland and Phoenix are among the cases we’re examining, with rotation assumptions still to check.
Read the team cases ↗A player’s role, minutes and availability shape the season. Search a name, explore our scenarios, and compare an over/under line with the same units.
Explore player props ↗WHY NBAI EXISTS
NBAI is a place to follow an idea a little further. We bring original statistical research and interactive simulations together so you can explore the league from your own point of view.
We’ll show our work. Simulations are possible outcomes, not promises. Our market watchlist is being researched, and we haven’t established a reliable betting edge. You’ll find the assumptions and limitations alongside the analysis.
Explore the methods and evidence ↗