{
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    "full": 171428,
    "valid": 159613,
    "invalid": 11815
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  "seasons": [
    "2021-22",
    "2022-23",
    "2023-24",
    "2024-25",
    "2025-26"
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  "aggregate": {
    "counts": {
      "full": 171428,
      "invalid": 11815,
      "valid": 159613
    },
    "paired_mae_bound": {
      "counts": {
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      "kind": "deterministic_missing_label_bound_not_ci",
      "lower": -0.9421215040623195,
      "ranking": "a_strict",
      "status": "defined",
      "upper": -0.43277108423347055,
      "valid_scores": {
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        "paired_delta": -0.7383329886236418,
        "status": "defined"
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      "valid_weight_fraction": 0.9310789369297897
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    "row_counts": {
      "forecastable": 159876,
      "nonforecastable": 11552
    },
    "valid_label_scores": {
      "counts": {
        "full": 171428,
        "invalid": 11815,
        "valid": 159613
      },
      "scores": {
        "boosting": {
          "mae": 5.973106524117111,
          "rmse": 8.712695107208308
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        "rolling": {
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      "status": "defined"
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  "report_sha256": "d427ec6f1f9e7fd605a56a2760c980537c14c3f01c7001a0369dfda569b4c95b",
  "remaining_gates": [
    "historical pregame input provenance",
    "corrected-history build lineage",
    "saved chronological training cutoff receipts",
    "sampling uncertainty",
    "market-price validation and future paper record"
  ],
  "limitations": "Fixed retrospective predictions; deterministic missing-label bounds, not confidence intervals, future accuracy, betting profitability or deployed content. Frozen-output hashes were recorded now, not at original generation.",
  "schema": "nba-retrospective-evidence/v1",
  "source_manifest_sha256": "780a192a3f153d81db3a3281b1a96a37b3ab5d99b5ae5e3b44dd976208db4124",
  "source_manifest_path": "research-inputs/780a192a3f153d81db3a3281b1a96a37b3ab5d99b5ae5e3b44dd976208db4124.json"
}