{
  "schema": "nba-daily-product/v1",
  "generation_id": "b7340cacf53effdd9136fb2ee125a61d",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-05T18:35:39.938325+00:00",
  "day": "2026-10-05",
  "collector": {
    "status": "empty_slate",
    "started_at": "2026-10-05T18:35:23.570791+00:00",
    "finished_at": "2026-10-05T18:35:39.851608+00:00",
    "scheduled_regular_games": 0
  },
  "paper_ledger": {
    "available": false,
    "source": "paper-ledger.sqlite3",
    "as_of": null,
    "grading": "latest",
    "reason": "Paper ledger missing, unreadable, active/unsupported, or inconsistent; no counts inferred."
  },
  "forecasts_in_latest_run": 0,
  "collector_errors": 0,
  "studio": {
    "available": true,
    "state": "running",
    "active_tasks": 1,
    "registered_product_counts": {
      "applied_code_changes": 29,
      "real_experiment_receipts": 4,
      "integrated_product_results": 0,
      "github_pushes": 1,
      "verified_live_deployments": null,
      "recorded_research_decisions": 0,
      "withheld_signals": 0
    }
  },
  "forecast_archive": {
    "available": true,
    "captured_at": "2026-09-16T19:30:30.266984+00:00"
  },
  "remaining_gates": [
    "Verified market identities and compatible same-book prices.",
    "Qualified game-total probability and uncertainty model; shadow bridge currently records passes only.",
    "Independent delivery receipts and verified publication remain separate from local changes."
  ],
  "model_comparison": {
    "classification": "retrospective_saved_prediction_diagnostic",
    "aggregate": {
      "version": "common-population-v1",
      "population": 6150,
      "eligible": 6150,
      "excluded": {},
      "scores": {
        "elo": {
          "n": 6150,
          "brier": 0.22026689984396572,
          "log_loss": 0.6318257867682762
        },
        "simulator": {
          "n": 6150,
          "brier": 0.21723353746122392,
          "log_loss": 0.6248009800076719
        },
        "prior_seasons_home_rate": {
          "n": 6150,
          "brier": 0.24752095423872683,
          "log_loss": 0.6881908134907376
        },
        "coin_flip": {
          "n": 6150,
          "brier": 0.25,
          "log_loss": 0.6931471805600152
        }
      },
      "policy": "Common population; log loss clips only at 1e-15 and 1-1e-15. No price, timing, training-lineage or betting validity is inferred.",
      "eligible_ids_sha256": "57cc0f5ba7679d94335b0be3aaf4fe3291556e467f9d87f250413609d0fe74c1"
    },
    "coverage_complete": true,
    "limitations": [
      "No model fitting, model selection or holdout claim. Previously explored seasons remain retrospective.",
      "Saved Elo/simulator historical generation and training cutoffs are not independently verified.",
      "Only the prior-seasons baseline cutoff is derived here. Season grouping is not proof of leakage-free models.",
      "No quote, price or pregame availability join: these scores establish neither a tradable edge nor betting ROI."
    ]
  },
  "local_source_hashes": {
    "web/research.html": "151e00a19a20eac6f6ee51fe93f498dca85e04d82564489dc35e36aa1d7c5e3d",
    "web/research-board.js": "4099ccb1ae206f595f5be50f0e65ba18df1ca0f24100749703406ab5676fde24",
    "web/forecast.html": "59ced77587a80e196dce853a69b4958e74f02595c3ff2e8d5ab98756890d9082",
    "web/forecast-explainer.js": "c616606dbf1e6c30c1d71c5d280415ef9da19a4957a9b9bd7a7636d6c5db82da"
  },
  "source_changes_since_previous_day": [
    "web/research.html"
  ],
  "change_note": "Source changes are not deployed features; null means no earlier daily baseline."
}